Multi-Blockbuster Drugs Will Drive Immuno-Oncology Market to $34 Billion by 2024

The total immuno-oncology market will be worth approximately $14 billion by 2019, rising to $34 billion by 2024, as the treatment of cancer patients undergoes drastic changes over the next decade, according to research and consulting firm GlobalData.

The company’s latest report, OpportunityAnalyzer: Cancer Immunotherapies – Strategic Analysis, states that the approval and uptake of immuno-oncology products is set to burgeon due to increased recognition of their long and durable tumor responses, which are similar to targeted therapies. Furthermore, these treatments have shown efficacy in a wide variety of indications and are not associated with the adverse side effects produced by traditional chemotherapy such as fatigue, neutropenia, or alopecia.

Dan Roberts, Ph.D., GlobalData’s Senior Analyst covering Oncology and Hematology, says: “Immuno-oncology products have demonstrated comparable respective efficacy and safety profiles, so their commercial success will largely rest on the speed with which they enter the market, their clinical and commercial positioning, target patient populations, and the marketing power of the relevant pharmaceutical company.”

Ono/Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Opdivo and Schering Plough/Merck and Co.’s Keytruda are set to be the highest-selling immuno-oncology drugs, with GlobalData forecasting multi-blockbuster sales of around $10 billion and $7 billion by 2024, respectively.

Roberts explains: “Both therapies, which are programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitors, will achieve such impressive sales due to the fact that they will be first-to-market in many indications, transcending competition such as Roche’s atezolizumab and AstraZeneca’s durvalumab.

“Although Keytruda will have sales in more tumor types than Opdivo, the indications in which the latter will have advantage over its competitors will have the largest drug-treated populations, such as non-small cell lung cancer.”

The analyst adds that opportunities for late-to-market entrants will still remain, despite the market dominance of a small number of products.

“As PD-1/ programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) inhibitors eventually saturate the oncology market, new developers are looking for ways to differentiate themselves. One way of doing this is by investigating various combinations of immuno-oncology treatments, with either other immuno-oncology or non-immuno-oncology products.

“AstraZeneca is the company to look out for in regards to the development of novel combinations. Indeed, it has the most late-phase combination trials, predominantly investigating its internally-owned immuno-oncology combination product in a number of cancers,” Roberts concludes.

This report provides analysis of the total immuno-oncology market across the 7 major countries of the US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the UK, and Japan, including annualized forecast market data from 2019 through to 2024. It also includes strategic competitor assessment, market characterization, unmet needs, clinical trial mapping and implications for the immuno-oncology therapeutics space. It was built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, primary and secondary research, and in-house analysis conducted by GlobalData’s team of industry experts.

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